Chapter 08

The reason for starting a blog is to get a wide variety in public feedback. I have my ideas and i love to share them, but if my opinion is wrong i would love to hear about it. Or maybe give me some more reasons to feel more confident with my opinion. Thanks!

Saturday, February 19, 2005

More Tree Hugging Hippy Crap!

Yes i will be writing about the environmental problem we are faced with today. It is something that does occupy my thoughts every now and then. The most accepted cause for the problems with our environment is global warming. The warming of the planet surface due to our own CO2 pollution. Which does seem logical. But there is a new concept that is just as logical. It's called global dimming. This means that our pollution reflects sunlight back into the atmosphere, and thus cooling down the earth. This actually has been proven, and i don't believe global warming is actually proven to warm up the earth. Fact is that in Siberia in the last 30 years sun radiance reaching the planet surface has been reduced by 30%. This is an extreme but similar result have been recorded around the globe. The fact also is that the earth is warming up. But is it our pollution? The global dimming study contradicts this. It suggest if we would cut down on the pollution we would speed up the global warming process. In Europe pollution has been cut down marginally over the past few decades. And this also suggests that the reduction in pollution is causing the global warming.

This actually sounds logical and therefor justifies some countries not signing the Kyoto treaty. Among the countries we find the United States, Australia, China and India. The latter two have booming economies and will increase pollution. Just because these countries need more oil. These two countries combined represent 50% of the earths population. So that's a lot. And the United States are already responsible for a third of all pollution. So these countries combined will be responsible for something like 80% of the pollution. Any other country willing to work on pollution, doesn't have a real chance for success. And is it worth it? As Europe tries hard to cut back on CO2 emissions we need to deal with the result. And a prefect example, tough speculative, is the summer of 2003. Bush-fires raged across southern Europe. The summer was extremely hot. And in Holland it pretty much broke all records of the past 100 years.

All in all the global dimming theory is my favourite. But can we do? Fact is that oil reserves are diminishing. In 25 years virtually all sources for oil will be emptied or too expensive to exploit. Our economy is addicted to oil. What used to be a gold standard has become an oil-standard. Pretty much everything we value is connected to the oil business. Even the food we eat, the soap we wash ourselves with. We are completely and utterly depended on oil. So where does that leave us in 25 years? Technology is moving forward fast enough right now to solve this problem in 25 years. We will need to invest in the future and we need to do it now. Government are too afraid to invest, due to the current economical situation. Well wake up guys, it isn't going to be better. Oil prices will keep on rising and we will need people from to step forward and invest in the future, because we can't rely on our governments. They can only see the short-term projections. And if we don't something quickly we might as well be living is the early 1900's. Nuclear fusion is the answer, but the technology isn't perfect yet. There is still a long way to go before this technology has reached a point where is economically viable. And its an even longer road before the technology is implemented enough to sustain the demand. If no one is willing to step and invest in the future, we will be spiralling farther down, until there is a complete worldwide economical crash. And what follows is complete social chaos. During the industrial revolution people weren't afraid to invest. Why are we today?

This said, say we do develop the technology for clean energy in time, so we can all benefit from it. We are faced with the problem that the global dimming is reduced and eventually virtually non existent. It means more healthy clean air. But we will be warming up the planet. And this is destructive as well. Reducing pollution isn't something we need worry about to much. It will be reduced anyway, as soon as we run out of oil. There is no choice in the end. Therefor i believe we should look farther into the future. What is going to happen when global warming really hits us. Because as i see it now, we are just speeding up the process now. What we are dealing with is a natural phenomenon that has been happening to earth countless times in all the thousands years of it's existence. We might just be closer to the sun now. There is a normal pattern in the earths rotational movement that brings it closer to the sun. But the sun is also getting bigger, and thus making it warmer here. Maybe pollution was the best thing that happened to us. It gave us more time to deal with the real problem at hand, if only we understood it in time.

I can only speculate what will happen, and there are many people who have a good idea about it, but i feel like they aren't heard. Or at least not enough. Well my next point on the agenda is to buy a really old diesel car. That should give us some time.